AIPAC's Evolving Role: From Powerhouse to Electoral Liability

AIPAC, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, has long been one of the most formidable lobbying forces in Washington, wielding significant influence on issues related to Israel. However, in the era of Donald Trump, the organization has found itself facing a new set of challenges, becoming an electoral liability in some cases.

Four Democratic congressional primaries in and around Chicago on Tuesday have turned into the most expensive test yet of this question. AIPAC and affiliated political action committees have spent at least $13.7 million across these four Illinois races, according to an investigation by WBEZ, Chicago's public radio station.

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The money has been funneled through a pair of Super PACs that are determined to hide their origins, with anodyne-sounding names like Elect Chicago Women and Affordable Chicago Now. These groups have not mentioned Israel once in their ads, a stark contrast to AIPAC's traditional approach.

This shift reflects the changing political landscape, where the pro-Israel stance that has long been a cornerstone of AIPAC's influence has become more contentious, particularly among progressive Democrats. The organization has found itself caught in the crosshairs of a growing divide within the party, as some candidates distance themselves from the group's perceived support for Netanyahu's policies.

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The Illinois primaries are not the first time AIPAC has faced such challenges. In 2018, the group was accused of supporting a Republican candidate in a special election in Pennsylvania, which led to a backlash from progressive Democrats. This incident, combined with the organization's close ties to Trump and his administration, has contributed to a growing perception that AIPAC is out of step with the party's shifting priorities.

As the Democratic Party grapples with these internal divisions, AIPAC finds itself in a precarious position. The group's traditional approach of wielding influence through campaign donations and lobbying may no longer be as effective, as some candidates seek to distance themselves from the organization's perceived baggage.

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The Illinois primaries serve as a crucial test for AIPAC, as the group navigates the changing political landscape and attempts to maintain its influence in an increasingly polarized environment. The outcome of these races could have far-reaching implications for the organization's future and its ability to shape the US-Israel relationship in the years to come.